Pages

Monday, February 14, 2011

Rockhopper, Bowleven and Xcite market caps show Bowleven looks very cheap

At the current share prices of RKH (279p), BLVN (322p), and XEL (372p) we have the following valuations  - see table below (based on a conservative 5 dollar per barrel model). Bowleven looks very undervalued given its finds are valued at over £7 a share, even with the political risks of working in Africa. RKH and XEL assume no exploration upside or resources upgrades, which is unlikely and still are valued at £2.05 and £3.91, excluding cash. It is worth pointing out that Rockhopper has around £200 million in cash (which will fund at least 8 more appraisal wells and seismics) and Xcite Energy has in the region of £40 million (though most of this will be spent on the Rowan Norway rig). Most takeovers are at least the 8-10 dollar per barrel range for proven reserves following a full CPR (Competent persons report).


No comments:

Post a Comment