Trades and observations from a British contrarian stock investor

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Showing posts with label barclays. Show all posts
Showing posts with label barclays. Show all posts

Monday, May 10, 2010

Eurozone bail out moves FTSE 100 up over 4%

The FTSE 100 is currently up 223 points or 4% to 5,345 and Dow industrials futures are up 335 points to 10, 719 as investors breathed a sigh of relief on news of the eurozone financial stability package. This is despite all the political uncertainty in the U.K. relating to the Hung parliament. 

The IMF and EU agreed to put together a €720bn (£625 billion) stability fund and the ECB (European Central Bank) announced it planned to buy government and other bonds on the open market. The ECB move was a complete reversal of policy from that stated from its President Jean-Claude Trichet last week.The bank will also reintroduce unlimited offers of three- and six-month liquidity to ease the current liquidity situation.

The eurozone will provide loan guarantees up to €440bn and a further €60bn will support weaker member states such as Portugal and Spain. The IMF will provide up to a further €220bn.

Commodity stocks are moving up significantly this morning. Portfolio holding Coal of Africa (CZA) is up 9% to 133p whilst BHP Billiton (BHP) is 5.8% to £19.73 and Kazakhmys is 9.2% at £13.09. Financials also strengthened with Barclays (BARC) up 34p or 12% to 318p and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) up 8% to 49.4p. BP (BP.) is one of the few stocks down, currently down 7p at £5.46 as concerns about the Gulf of Mexico spill still weigh.

Rockhopper Exploration (RKH) shot ahead a further 54p at one stage on further news about its oil find in the Falklands Islands and the share price is now trading at 28% or 41p at 187p. This means RKH is up over 500% since a low of 36p last Wednesday. I'm just a tad disappointed selling out at 125p! For those brave enough to have turned off their trading screens since last week they will have been mightily rewarded - high risk, very high return.

After waiting several weeks for a correction, my decision to start buying last week has been confirmed as correct. With this huge move up today, I wish I had been more aggressive with my buying of stocks especially in the commodity space.

Friday, April 30, 2010

U.S. market waits for GDP data

The U.S. Dow Jones Industrial average moved up 122 points last night to finish at 11,167 as fears about Greek debt contagion eased and earnings continued to meet or exceed expectations particularly in the health sector. Bristol Myers (BMS) moved 4% higher after Q1 earnings rose 16% year on year.

Today the FTSE 100 is down around 20 points to 5,601 after a 5% fall in Barclays (BARC) to £3.42 despite a 47% increase in Q1 earnings. Profit before tax from continuing operations rose to £1.82bn from £1.24bn in the first three months of 2009. Investment banking arm, Barclays Capital, earnt £1.47bn, 62% more than Q1 2009. Impairment charges for bad debts dropped 35% to £1.51bn compared with £2.31bn a year ago and 19% less than the figure for the final quarter of 2009, largely due to a £563m reduction to £191m at BarCap. The shares fell because of disappointment at weaker profits in the retail division, with a 6% drop to £403m.



The U.S. GDP data is due at 1.30 pm GMT with an expectation of a 3.2% seasonally adjusted annual rate in the first three months 2010, down from 5.6% in the fourth quarter. This will dicate the direction of the UK and US markets this afternoon.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Markets recover strongly as positive sentiment returns

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended with a 169 point gain, up 1.7%, at 10,268, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.4% to 2,214 whilst the FTSE 100 gained 76 points to 5,244.

The Dow's strongest component by far was Bank of America Corp.(BAC ) whose shares rose nearly 5% after it reported "significant gains" in the number of modified mortgages it handles through the government's Home Affordable Modification Program. Also, it reported better payment performance on its credit card loans last month.Sentiment was further helped in the financial sector by better than expected earnings from Barclays (BARC) which drove a 6.8% to £2.94 in the U.K., whilst its American depositary shares soared 13.7%.
The dollar fell as investors took on risk as fears about the impact of the potential default of Greece on the wider European economy ebbed. That helped the prices of commodity related stocks. Gold ended $29.80 an ounce higher at $1,119.80 an ounce whilst oil rose $3 to $77 a barrel after going below $70 less than 2 weeks ago.