Trades and observations from a British contrarian stock investor

This blog is not intended to give financial advice. Before investing, do your own research and consult your financial adviser if appropriate. The accuracy of any information included is not guaranteed and may be subject to conjecture or interpretation by Contrarian Investor. Therefore visitors should validate all facts using alternative sources where possible.

Monday, February 22, 2010

Desire petroleum suffers from buy on rumour, sell on fact

After rising as high as £1.32, Desire Petroleum (DES) fell back with a bump to finish the day down 4p at £1.13. At 3.30pm the long awaited RNS was released which said that the Ocean Guardian had spudded the well at 14.15 GMT. Further news will be released after the 30 days of drilling. For most traders in this stock, and there are many, 30 days is a long time to wait. Without any news flow DES will inevitably drift for a while until rumours from the rig begin to leak. But Contrarian Investor is a little patient so after closing my position at 128p, I have bought back. This one is too volatile to stay on the sidelines for too long. Nice to see FOGL staying in positive territory. I am sure that further rises are on the way.

Upward move in DRAM memory chip looking positive for Micron Technology

Micron Technology (MU) opened above the $9 mark today as isuppli forecasted that  Global DRAM sales are expected to rise 40 percent this year, ending three consecutive years of decline.DRAM chips are used mainly in PC's. Global revenue was forecast to rise for dynamic random access memory (DRAM) chip sales this year to $31.9 billion, up from $22.7 billion last year (+40.5%) and 45% up from 2008 levels. Volume and price per chip are expected to continue rising through 2010.Unlike past trends in the highly cyclical industry, iSuppli believes the current upcycle will not be followed by rapid declines in revenue and price growth in following quarters.

No stopping stampede for Falkland Island Oil shares

The Falkland Oil drillers continued to power ahead this morning as the Ocean Guardian Rig starts drilling on the Liz field: Desire Petroleum (DES) 129p +10%, Rockhopper (RKH) 76.75p +10%, Falkland Oil and Gas (FOGL)159p +5.3%, Borders and Southern (BOR) 69p +2.2%. The North Falklands basin drillers, Desire and Rockhopper are getting the majority of the action given the relative rates of news flow from the Northern and Southern basins.

News flow from Desire Petroleum and Nighthawk Energy

Desire Petroleum (DES) began drilling on its prospect in the Falkland Islands this morning. It would be surprising not to get an RNS updating shareholders during this week. Falkland Oil and Gas (FOGL) and BHP's announcement on hiring of a deep water rig for their South Falklands prospects should also be due any week now.

The key seismic and production information from the Jolly Ranch and Revere projects is expected from Nighthawk Energy (HAWK) this week. Should either be a highly exciting or demoralising news release for HAWK shareholders!