From today's Telegraph "On Tuesday, Royal Bank of Scotland told clients that last week they had an "interesting" meeting with Reckitt Benckiser's management. "There were a couple of off-the-cuff comments on 'attractive opportunities' that sounded interesting. Suffice to say, one brief comment was with regards to the condom business and how it would fit into their acquisition template," said the RBS salesman. He concluded: "The whole SSL/Scholl North America dynamic, the stumbling block last time around, has changed a bit and could make the takeout story more intriguing now." SSL gained 20½ to 841p."
SSL shares are up another 29p this morning to 871p. I am sceptical because SSL's Scholl brand is owned by Schering Plough in the U.S. under the Dr Scholl umbrella. Also RB will be reluctant to over pay. Assuming a takeover price of £10.00 and earnings per share of 35p in 2010 this puts it on a forward p/e of 29. Finally it would be surprising if RB would be able to accelerate the growth of Durex too much faster than SSL itself. The contrary argument is that cash rich Reckitt needs a big acquisition to fuel further earnings growth. Could be an interesting couple of days for RB and SSL but the likelihood is its yet another false rumour. Shorts placed between 875p and 880p this morning.
Contrarian Investor UK invests mainly in UK FTSE and AIM listed shares. Like famous contrarians, Warren Buffett and Anthony Bolton, he likes to take a different view to the crowd of investors. He prefers the short term, possibly speculative trade, to the long term hold and takes the view that it's about "buy and research" not "buy and hold"! This blog tracks Contrarian Investor UK's thoughts on the stockmarket and his portfolio's trades. Move against the herd with the Contrarian Investor UK!
Trades and observations from a British contrarian stock investor
This blog is not intended to give financial advice. Before investing, do your own research and consult your financial adviser if appropriate. The accuracy of any information included is not guaranteed and may be subject to conjecture or interpretation by Contrarian Investor. Therefore visitors should validate all facts using alternative sources where possible.
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
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