Trades and observations from a British contrarian stock investor

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Thursday, April 8, 2010

Falklands Islands oil shares profits taken

This week speculative investors have moved money from Desire Petroleum (DES) to fellow North Falklands basin driller Rockhopper Exploration (RKH) following news from Desire's Liz well that it was non-commercial and was being plugged. After a sharp rise in RKH from the lows 40's to close to 60p on Tuesday, today it is down around 4% on the evitable profit taking.

After making some large profits on RKH and Falkland Oil and Gas (FOGL) this week I no longer hold any of the Falkland's Islands drillers. Why have taken my money off the table? 1) The results from Rockhopper Sea Lion drill site will not be available for around a month 2) The spudding of Rockhopper well is unlikely to drive a significant new inflow of investment into the stock given news flow will take some time and speculators have been badly burnt on Desire (Desire has now fallen from a peak of around 130p to today's 45p). 3) most of the rotation within the sector from DES to RKH has probably taken place on Monday/Tuesday this week. For now Contrarian Investor UK stays on the sidelines but will keep an eye on things for any potentially fruitful entry points

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