In 2009, most emerging markets funds doubled in value from the March lows. In 2010, returns have been closer to developed markets. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is only up 1.9% year-to-date versus the FTSE 100's 4%, but has gained 78% on a 12 month basis. The actively managed and top performing Templeton Emerging Markets investment trust (TEM) run my Mark Mobius is up 7.4% year to date (98% on a 12 month view), three and half times the exchange traded fund, partly because the EFT is a dollar denominated fund and the dollar has signficantly strengthened against the pound in recent months . In this weekend's Barrons, Mobius says "If you're coming in now, make sure you dollar-cost average, and be ready for corrections," but Mobius expects emerging markets to post gains "in the teens or double digits in 2010, even with corrections along the way."
Contrarian Investor UK invests mainly in UK FTSE and AIM listed shares. Like famous contrarians, Warren Buffett and Anthony Bolton, he likes to take a different view to the crowd of investors. He prefers the short term, possibly speculative trade, to the long term hold and takes the view that it's about "buy and research" not "buy and hold"! This blog tracks Contrarian Investor UK's thoughts on the stockmarket and his portfolio's trades. Move against the herd with the Contrarian Investor UK!
Trades and observations from a British contrarian stock investor
This blog is not intended to give financial advice. Before investing, do your own research and consult your financial adviser if appropriate. The accuracy of any information included is not guaranteed and may be subject to conjecture or interpretation by Contrarian Investor. Therefore visitors should validate all facts using alternative sources where possible.
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